Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027297 0.029391 0.031495 0.033764 0.036139 0.038549 0.041175
2025-12-07 0.022838 0.026073 0.029445 0.033208 0.037277 0.041532 0.046304
2025-12-14 0.019924 0.023764 0.027877 0.032579 0.037781 0.043331 0.049675
2025-12-21 0.017577 0.021801 0.026432 0.031841 0.037938 0.044555 0.052233
2025-12-28 0.016533 0.021174 0.026363 0.032524 0.039573 0.047321 0.056418
2026-01-04 0.015313 0.020238 0.025848 0.032615 0.040465 0.049198 0.059560
2026-01-11 0.014150 0.019281 0.025232 0.032519 0.041084 0.050715 0.062255
2026-01-18 0.013531 0.018928 0.025284 0.033167 0.042530 0.053156 0.065985
2026-01-25 0.012604 0.018139 0.024766 0.033093 0.043095 0.054552 0.068495
2026-02-01 0.011787 0.017437 0.024309 0.033055 0.043671 0.055936 0.070973
2026-02-08 0.011019 0.016754 0.023839 0.032968 0.044160 0.057196 0.073291
2026-02-15 0.010303 0.016100 0.023372 0.032853 0.044590 0.058369 0.075492
2026-02-22 0.009592 0.015453 0.022931 0.032809 0.045166 0.059795 0.078101
2026-03-01 0.008708 0.014535 0.022117 0.032280 0.045143 0.060512 0.079893
2026-03-08 0.007868 0.013625 0.021266 0.031662 0.044974 0.061022 0.081411
2026-03-15 0.007062 0.012711 0.020366 0.030938 0.044635 0.061298 0.082623
2026-03-22 0.006825 0.012602 0.020539 0.031608 0.046055 0.063732 0.086460
2026-03-29 0.006404 0.012196 0.020285 0.031698 0.046723 0.065230 0.089153
2026-04-05 0.005953 0.011718 0.019909 0.031604 0.047140 0.066407 0.091449
2026-04-12 0.005767 0.011635 0.020077 0.032239 0.048500 0.068766 0.095207
2026-04-19 0.005376 0.011206 0.019737 0.032167 0.048926 0.069943 0.097502
2026-04-26 0.005022 0.010815 0.019433 0.032130 0.049387 0.071159 0.099843
2026-05-03 0.004678 0.010419 0.019105 0.032044 0.049773 0.072272 0.102052